Decision Making

Decision Making

A color-coded map of Asia shows four migration phases from China, with arrows pointing toward Papua New Guinea and the Andaman Islands, both circled in yellow.
The plan — conquer China and push west to attack the Ottomans — was peak imperial hubris, as the Spanish themselves eventually realized.
An illustration of an eye outline formed by two black arrows, with a blue Earth at the center where the iris would be, on a textured beige and peach background.
An ode to the data visualization tools that help us see what is too vast, complex, or interconnected for the naked eye — from planetary systems to pandemic trends.
A man in a dark coat holds up a signed document in front of a crowd; the document is circled in red.
From Hitler to Hamas, Western powers have repeatedly dismissed open threats as bluffs — with catastrophic results.
Two figures in military gear salute, rendered in white and red with visible brain scans over their heads, set against a black background—a striking nod to the neuroscience of war.
In “Warhead,” neuroscientist and national security adviser Nicholas Wright explains how the brain navigates warfare and why it is our ultimate weapon (and instrument for peace).
Aerial view of two groups of people waiting in line and walking on a paved surface, casting long shadows in the sunlight.
In this excerpt from "Lucky By Design," Judd Kessler explains how opportunity costs shape our choices and why time is the real price we pay.
A book cover titled "All That We See or Seem" by Ken Liu rests on a light background, beside text reading "an excerpt from" on a vibrant purple background.
A preview of the latest novel by the Hugo- and Nebula-winning author.
A man in a dark polo shirt sits and smiles in front of a background with graph lines and stock charts, evoking the analytical style of Buffett and Munger.
A conversation with investor and author Alex Morris on what Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger can teach us about focus, discipline, and building a life that lasts.
Four women stand in front of a vintage computer, each holding different components of its hardware, with the computer's panel visible in the background—an image reminiscent of historical innovation studied by Angus Fletcher.
The incredible story of how the US Army began the march toward generative AI in 1943 — and what it means for your business today.
A man in a suit walks on grass beside a long-haired dog, with faded images of a magic wand, a hat, and white doves in the blue-toned background.
A childhood spent under the spell of sleight-of-hand taught me skepticism, curiosity, and the habit of looking beneath appearances.
Black-and-white portrait of a man in a suit centered between a grid, network lines, and a swirling blue pattern evoking a hurricane, symbolizing the dynamic power of predictive intelligence.
Brian Gumbel — President and Chief Operating Officer (COO) at Dataminr — explores the cutting edge of real-time information analysis.
Book cover of "Manage Yourself to Lead Others" by Margaret C. Andrews, with the phrase "an excerpt from" on a purple background—highlighting the importance of know thyself in effective leadership.
Aristotle taught that “knowing yourself is the beginning of all wisdom” — all leaders and teams should take note.
A storytelling collage featuring a man inspecting barrels, a person holding a skull mask, another man observing the mask, and the text "THE NIGHTCRAWLER" in bold black and orange.
Welcome to The Nightcrawler — a weekly newsletter from Eric Markowitz covering tech, innovation, and long-term thinking.
A digital illustration of a hermit crab with a shell resembling a human brain, shown in two square sections over the shell.
A conversation about intelligence and consciousness with philosopher Peter Godfrey-Smith.
Abstract illustration of translucent human figures standing in line, with a mix of a natural outdoor scene and geometric digital elements in the background.
The overlooked reason why "AI consciousness" isn't coming anytime soon.
John Candeto, in a white shirt, smiles while sitting outdoors near stone steps and green potted plants.
Fund manager and writer John Candeto is on a mission to decode the hidden patterns that drive extraordinary outcomes.
Book excerpt promotional graphic showing the cover of "Distancing: How Great Leaders Reframe to Make Better Decisions" by L. David Marquet and Michael A. Gillespie, highlighting an Intel genius approach in leadership—an excerpt from.
To navigate a heavyweight corporate quandary, take a leaf out of Intel’s brilliant playbook — walk out, and return as your own successor.
A person in a suit holds up a NOAA map showing the forecast track and intensity of Hurricane Dorian, reminding us that, unlike Einstein, we can't change the facts—only prepare for them—in an office setting.
Einstein is credited with saying, "If the facts don't fit the theory, change the facts." What he actually said has a very different meaning.
Collage with a man in a suit, stacked mugs, an upside-down creature, dice, and the text "THE NIGHTCRAWLER" at the top on a dark grid background—hinting at the power of intuition amid surreal imagery.
Welcome to The Nightcrawler — a weekly newsletter from Eric Markowitz covering tech, innovation, and long-term thinking.
Pixelated grayscale close-up of an AI prince's face with strong contrast and visible mosaic-like squares.
Author and geopolitical strategist Paulo Cardoso do Amaral urges us to ask: Will we shape AI with wisdom, or will AI reshape us with strategy?
Book cover of "Blindspotting: How to See What's Holding You Back as a Leader" by Martin Dubin, featuring the word "blindspotting" and “an excerpt from” on a purple background.
You might love your leadership role and inspire fierce loyalty — but what if that comes at the expense of a disastrous balance sheet? Here’s a way forward.